HONOLULU (KHON2) – The prominent feature on regional satellite imagery remains to be the leftover frontal band currently positioned around 300 miles north of Kauai.
Strong trades will deliver scattered showers into windward and mauka areas, though shower intensity will be capped by a strengthening inversion averaging about 7kft over the state.
Increasing showers associated with the approaching remnant front will reach Kauai early Sunday, Oahu during midday, and the eastern half of the state Sunday night into Monday.
During this time, expect an expansion of shower coverage and a modest increase in intensity along a relatively deep moisture axis, which supporting frequent leeward penetration of showers carried by the already strong trades.
Wind gusts on Monday afternoon could approach the advisory threshold.
The gradient reaches peak intensity on Tuesday, though it is modeled to occur coincident with the return of increasing moisture embedded in the trades which may compromise higher end wind gust potential as the inversion lifts and weakens.
All told, borderline Wind Advisory conditions are likely Monday afternoon through Tuesday.
Strong trades hold through mid-week, easing thereafter in response to a developing surface trough west of the state.
High Surf Advisory until 6 AM HST Sunday for Niihau, Kauai Leeward, Waianae Coast, Oahu North Shore, Maui Windward West, Kauai North, Molokai Windward, Molokai North, Molokai West, Maui Central Valley North, Windward Haleakala.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM HST Monday for all Hawaiian waters.

